Background
- Boreal peatlands are major carbon sinks and are important components of regional biodiversity.
- Peatlands are often threatened by tree encroachment as a result of climate change and atmospheric deposition.
- Understanding how this encroachment proceeds from initial tree establishment to fully mature forested bogs is crucial for the long term management of these systems.
Objectives
- Determine the timing of release from the shrub stage to the erect tree stage, and how that timing was related to climate and atmospheric deposition.
- Model growth patterns against climate and atmospheric deposition variables to potentially inform conservation efforts for boreal peatlands.
Methods
- Cookies from small trees were collected.
- These were analyzed using standard dendrochronological techniques.
- The annual growth rings were detrended and crossdated.
- I then modeled growth patterns against climate and atmospheric deposition data variables to determine how these factors are associated with both release events and subsequent growth.
Tree Growth Models
Black Spruce model results. The final linear
model (R2
=0.46) included 8 predictor variables (3 temp., 4
deposition, and pH). Three of these are shown here with
Ring Width Index plotted against the predictor, and each
predictor variable plotted through time.
Conclusions
- Bogs depend on atmospheric deposition in order to get nutrients. The recent decrease in these nutrients may explain the decrease in growth for both species.
- Rising temperatures have a positive effect on Black Spruce growth but a negative effect on Larch growth.
- Rising pH had a negative effect on Black Spruce growth.
- Atmospheric deposition variables retained in the models were sodium, which had a negative effect on Black Spruce, and nitrate which had a positive effect on Larch.
- So many countering factors make it difficult to observe direct trends. However, understanding the process of tree encroachment is crucial for the long term management of boreal peatlands.
Thank you Dr. Lesser and Stephen Langdon for advising me throughout this study and thank you all for listening!