Canada In 2050 Changing populations summative assignment

Introduction

In the past few years Canada's population has changed rapidly! Immigrants from all around the world are travelling to Canada and increasing the amount of human population. From 1950-2016 the population has increased by 96%. Crazy right! Well has anyone ever thought of how Canada would look like the next 34 years. Yes, Canada in 2050! I'm talking about First Nation problems, Canada's demography and Immigrants travelling to Canada.

Immigration: Current trends

Canada has one of the highest per capita rates of immigration in the world and is on going to be one of the most popular destinations for immigrants. Canada's immigration minister John McCallum has recently accepted more than 300,000 immigrants from all around the world in 2016. In 2011 Canada had a total of 6,775,800 immigrants who represented 20.6% of the total population throughout 2011, More than 200 ethnic origins were reported in the 2011 National Household Survey. 30.9% of the population was born in Canada and 65.1% were born outside the country and came to live in Canada as immigrants. Currently 1 out of 5 people in Canada's population is foreign-born. The graph shows that from 2006 to 2011 Asia including the middle east were the top people to travel to Canada and become immigrants. Overall there were about 6.8 million immigrants by the end of 2011. As we can see the baby boom had began near the ages of 45 to 60 and it started to decrease after.

Immigration: Future Perdition

Immigration in 2050 will surely be different from the current immigration. My future prediction of immigration in Canada in 2050 is that the immigration will certainly increase. I believe this because the immigration rate is expected to change rapidly because "Around 2030, deaths are expected to start outnumbering births." If the deaths start out numbering near 2030 the only factor for growth would be immigration. By the time 2050 reaches the natural increase of the population will decrease and the net migration will increase. The map below shows that from 2001 to 2061 the annual growth will most likely only be migratory increase. Population aging will increase between 2011 and 2031 In 2026. The first of the baby boomers will reach the age of 80 an age typically associated with high mortality. The migratory will also increase because of the pull factors which are, Canada has lots of economic opportunities, a high standard of living, a universal health care system, and a low crime rate.

Demography: Current Trends

In the 2011 census , 33,476,688 people were enumerated and Canada's population grew by 5.9%. In the graph below it shows that the deaths are increasing year by year form 1926 to 2011 the death rate was nearly to 250,000 people. In the graph on top it shows that from 1926 to 2011 the birth rate either increases or decreases by the end of 2011 the birth rate was nearly 377,636 people. The amount of population that were living with HIV/Aids in 2009 were 68,000. The Fertility rate in 2012 was 1.61 births per woman. The population of children aged 4 and under increased 11.0% between 2006 and 2011. This was the highest growth rate for this age group since the 1956 to 1961 period was during the baby boom. The number of births in 2009 were 380,863 and decreased by 2011 where there were 377,636 births and Canada's natural increase rate between 2006 and 2011 census was 5.9% In the 2011 census it shows that malignant neoplasms which was type of a cancer was the top factor of death which lead 72,476 people dead due to this disease spreading.

Demography: Future Prediction

In 2050 Canada's demography will certainly change. I believe this because the world's working age population (ages 20-59) will grow more than 25 percent between 2010 and 2050. In the graph below it shows that near 2050 -2060 the birth and death rate will increase but also reach at the same levels. By 2050 one in three Canadians will belong to a visible minority and one in four will be foreign-born. The vast majority (96%) of people belonging to a visible minority group from 2016- 2050. Due to the factor of immigration being the top factor of growth in human populations in Canada. Due to immigration being the only factor of growth the population will start to slowly decrease unless if the government decides to accept more immigrants than whats already said in the past. If that happens Canada's population will then start growing again and will increase rapidly by the end of 2050 reaches. Lastly demography will also change due to the rise of baby boom generation. I predict that when 2050 reaches baby boomers will no longer be in the scene i say this because majority of the population now is baby boomers and in the future it will drop and decrease since the fertility rate might drop due to the population increasing in 2050.

Continued........

This graph shows that in the 2011 census data ages 60-65 and older meaning the dependency load ages reached to a higher level than 14 and under. Which shows that in 2050 taxes might go up due to the issue of the dependency load in 2050.

First Nations: Current Trends

In 2011, 851,560 people identified as First Nations and had represented 60.8% of the total Aboriginal population and 2.6% of the total Canadian population. 637,660 First Nations were reported being registered Indians, representing 74.9% of all First Nations, and 45.5% of the total Aboriginal population and 1.9% of the total Canadian population. The population increased by 232,385 people meaning 20.1% between 2006 to 2011. In the graph below it shows that in 2011 1,400,687 First Nations were enumerated and also in the National Household Survey it had showed that 1,400,685 First Nations had an Aboriginal identity in 2011, representing 4.3% of the total Canadian population.

First Nations: Future Prediction

In 2050 the aboriginal population is estimated to represent a minimum of 7% of the total Canadian population. In 2012 only 72% of the population were high school graduates. In 2050 its expected that most of the First Nations in Canada should have a high school diploma meaning that if there's a increase in the amount of school enrollment taken by the First Nations then more of the aboriginals will have a stronger education to rely in the future meaning 2050. This will change there life in 2050 since they would not have to face poverty or unemployment. I also believe that the First Nations will change in 2050 when the First Nations choose to pursue a higher education for a better life and employment which can be found in advanced cities. Therefore due to the reasons of education for First Nations Canada will have a change in 2050 towards its population.

Indian Act:Current Trends

Indian Act 1876 Current & Prediction

In 1876, during the Indian Act the First Nations did not agree to the terms of the Indian Act. This lead the First Nations to face issues. The issues that First Nations faced due to the Indian act were that the First Nations children could not attend residential schools and were expected to take in wholly into Canadian society. Secondly, the First Nations "interpret as free health care" however the government did not agree to that being a treaty right. First Nations were also restricted to their reserves by a pass and permit system, where they had to please for permission from the Indian Agents or farm instructors to leave the reserve or sell goods. The Indian Act is historically and legally significant for Aboriginal people. If they abolished the Indian Act the First Nations will get the rights to have their personal ownership of reserve land. Secondly, if they abolish the Indian act the First Nations can own the land they build up equity and pride which can borrow against it. Lastly, poverty will decrease since Aboriginal people will own lands and will get their " annual income" from lands.

Aboriginal Demographics :Current Trends

In 1996 799,010 people of Canada's population identified themselves as Aboriginals. After 10 years later the population increased by 4% which was 1,172,790 Aboriginal people. In 2011 697,505 people were reported registered Indians. 50% of the Aboriginal population is aged 24 and under compared to the non aboriginal peoples aged 65 and older. In the 2011 census 392,105 Aboriginal children aged 14 and under in Canada. 15 to 24, representing 18.2% of the total Aboriginal population, and 5.9% of all youth in Canada. Overall In 2011, the median age of the Aboriginal population was 28 years. In the map below it shows where the populations of Aboriginal people lived mostly in Nunavut, Northwest Territories and Yukon. The fertility rate was higher for Aboriginal women which is why the Aboriginal population growth was faster.

Aboriginal Demographics: Future Perdiction

In 2050 the population of Aboriginals will grow since the fertility rate for women are higher than other communities and they will keep having babies which will lead to the majority of population growth. Immigration is also going to be a major factor too since Aboriginals will look for education opportunities and a better life. In my opinion the population will be older since the recent data of the population in Canada in 2050 shows that majority of the population is dependency load meaning ages 60 to 65 plus. Aboriginal people are in love with land, and land is the only factor for them pushing away poverty. In the future Aboriginals will most likely want to live where there's more land such as places like Russia or Australia.

Conclusion

Therefore Canada will change in 2050 due to the factors of immigration, health care, economic opportunities, more jobs, and a better life. In 2050 immigration will have a huge impact on the population since only migratory increase will be 99% of the population growth. Demography will also change in 2050 due to diseases spreading and the dependency load. Lastly First Nations will also change Canada in 2050 since they also have a huge impact of growth in population wanting to end poverty and being employed.. In conclusion Canada will change in 2050 dramatically due to the factors mentioned throughout this project.

Bibliography

http://www.statcan.gc.ca/pub/11-630-x/11-630-x2014001-eng.htm

https://www12.statcan.gc.ca/census-recensement/2011/as-sa/98-310-x/2011003/fig/fig3_1-3-eng.cfm

https://www12.statcan.gc.ca/nhs-enm/2011/as-sa/99-011-x/99-011-x2011001-eng.cfm

https://www.aadnc-aandc.gc.ca/eng/1370438978311/1370439050610#fig3

http://www.thecanadianencyclopedia.ca/en/article/aboriginal-people-demography/

https://www.aadnc-aandc.gc.ca/DAM/DAM-INTER-HQ-AI/STAGING/images-images/abo_demo2013_fig2_1370438301282_eng.gif

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