Future challenges and emerging risks
Queensland Treasury has budgeted for reduced GST grant funding from the Australian Government in 2019–20. In addition, the extent to which the Australian Government agrees to provide funding for expiring National Partnership Agreements may impact on the government’s ability to fund services in future years.
This will require the Queensland Government to maintain an appropriate balance between the revenue it receives from the Australian Government and its own-sourced revenue.
Unless the Queensland Government can increase its own revenue or constrain the recent growth in its expenses, it risks not being able to meet the costs of its activities from the revenue it earns going forward.
The Queensland Government is planning to invest in a $49.5 billion capital program over the next four years, which will be partly funded by additional borrowings. As a result, borrowings are forecast to increase by $15.4 billion over this period.
The government needs to ensure that there is an appropriate repayment plan in place to meet its debt obligations without impacting on available funding for the delivery of government services. Based on current forecasts of revenue and operating expenses, we expect this increase in debt to be sustainable.
In addition to existing liabilities, there are several new liabilities that the government may be required to recognise in future years—for example, native title compensation claims, class actions with respect to the impact of the 2011 floods, and the extension to the National Redress Scheme.
For more information
For more information on the results, financial performance, and future challenges and emerging risks highlighted in this summary presentation, please see the full report on our website.