Canada in 2050 sara

INTRODUCTION

Canada has changed a lot over the years. It looks very different from a long time ago; what will it look like in fifty years? This page covers the current situation of Immigration, Demography and First Nations in Canada. It also contains my predictions on what Canada and my life will look like in 2050.

IMMIGRATION

TREND #1:

At this rate, immigration will eventually become Canada's only source of population growth: more people are coming to Canada, and less children are being born. It's expected that not far into the future, deaths in Canada will outnumber births.

TREND #2:

Higher amount of immigrants: recently, a lot more foreign-born people have been moving to Canada. On average, 250, 000 immigrants come into Canada every year. About 1 out of every 5 Canadians is someone who was born in a different country. Immigrants now represent over 20% of

PREDICTION:

In 2050, Canada’s immigration rates will increase notably. This is because the natural increase will be very low due to people having less children, and Canada will need more immigrants so the population and economy can grow. Canada will have more employment opportunities and jobs that need to be filled, and without immigration our population growth would be way too low.

FIRST NATIONS

TREND #1:

The First Nations population is young: the First Nations population is younger than the rest of Canada’s population, mostly because of higher fertility rates and lower life expectancy. Kids aged fourteen and under were about 28% of the population. Around 6% of First Nations population were aged 65 and over. Compared to First Nations youth, there aren’t as many First Nations seniors. The youngest First Nations populations are in Manitoba and Saskatchewan.

TREND #2

Many First Nations people have substance abuse problems: Because of isolation and poverty, usage of substances like alcohol and solvents is more common in Aboriginal communities. About 33% of First Nations residents think that substance abuse is a problem in their households. 25% have said that they themselves have a substance abuse problem.

PREDICTION:

I predict that the First Nations population will make up at least 7% of the Canadian population, since currently the Aboriginal population is growing much faster in Canada than the non-Aboriginal population. Substance abuse will decrease. More First Nations people will have been enrolled in school and have a high school diploma. As the education in Aboriginals increases, so will employment and income.

DEMOGRAPHY

TREND #1:

Fewer kids, older parents: People tended to have more kids at a younger age, but now people wait longer to have kids and they have fewer children. Canada changed from having a younger, growing population to an older population. There are also a lot more older people than younger people because the baby boomers have all grown up.

TREND #2:

Migratory increase is higher than natural increase: recently, natural increase helping population growth is much lower than years ago. The Canadian population got older and fertility rates decreased. Natural increase is less than one third of Canada’s population growth now.Instead, migratory increase is contributing to population growth more than natural increase.

PREDICTION:

I expect that Canada’s population will slowly decrease by 2050, and we’ll see a lower population than the current number. There will be a much lower birth rate and death rate, and the number of births and death would be close to equal. Because of this, Canada will have a very low natural increase rate because the amount of children being born won’t reach the replacement level. I believe that there will be more adults than children because of my generation's interest in having less children than our predecessors.

MY LIFE IN 2050

In 2050 I will be forty-eight years old. I’ll have finished my education, have a career and will likely have a family. I expect to be very dependent on my job, where I’ll get my annual income. Because of the lower birth rate that is anticipated in 2050, I predict that it will be easier for me to get a job in 2050 than it is for people to be employed currently. Because most of the population will have grown older by then, I can expect that there will be many more job opportunities. I will likely be paying much higher taxes than my parents do now.

My parents both come from families with at least 4-6 other children, excluding themselves. My parents have four children including me. I think that I will only have one or two kids, because supporting children will be more difficult in 33 years than it is now. I also know for a fact that to me, my career will be far more important for me than having children.

SOURCES

Fertility: Fewer children, older moms http://www.statcan.gc.ca/pub/11-630-x/11-630-x2014002-eng.htm

Population growth: Migratory increase overtakes natural increase http://www.statcan.gc.ca/pub/11-630-x/11-630-x2014001-eng.htm

Aboriginal Peoples in Canada: First Nations People, Métis and Inuit https://www12.statcan.gc.ca/nhs-enm/2011/as-sa/99-011-x/99-011-x2011001-eng.cfm

11 facts about the gap between First Nations and the rest of Canada; The Globe and Mail - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pWK6ChJw8hs

First Nations, Inuit and Métis http://www.ccsa.ca/Eng/topics/First-Nations-Inuit-and-Metis/Pages/default.aspx

Aboriginal Mental Health: The statistical reality http://www.heretohelp.bc.ca/visions/aboriginal-people-vol5/aboriginal-mental-health-the-statistical-reality

Canada's Only First Nations Health Authority Is Flawed: Audit; Camille Press - http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2016/02/02/bc-first-nations-health-authority_n_9144948.html

Population growth in Canada http://www.statcan.gc.ca/pub/91-003-x/2007001/4129907-eng.htm

150 years of immigration in Canada http://www.statcan.gc.ca/pub/11-630-x/11-630-x2016006-eng.htm

Canada on track to welcome more than 300,000 immigrants in 2016 http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/ottawa-seeks-to-bring-more-than-300000-newcomers-this-year/article29069851/

Unjustified Immigration Levels Against Public’s Wishes http://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache%3Ahttp%3A%2F%2Fwww.immigrationwatchcanada.org%2F2015%2F11%2F22%2Funjustified-immigration-levels-against-publics-wishes%2F&gws_rd=cr&ei=JeJyWJn4K6vojwTQ8aLoAg

TJ Scott Silhouette Photography http://9bytz.com/tj-scott-silhouette-photography/

Credits:

Created with images by alexindigo - "Canada" • sbtlneet - "sunset evening sky" • urformat - "niagara cases water" • katgrigg - "Family" • tpsdave - "banff canada winter" • Pexels - "boat canada nature"

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